Lorenzo Musetti vs Jan Lennard StruffSofia Quarter-final

Sofia · ATP · Quarter-final
#14ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 September 2022
hard
#41ATP
1694ELO
1634Hard ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Musetti L.
7-6 6-1
Struff J.
Musetti L.
7762
Struff J.
6310

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Jan Lennard Struff 7-6 6-1 in the Sofia quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #14, defending last year's round of 32. Lorenzo Musetti claimed a first win over Jan Lennard Struff in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Lorenzo Musetti came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-28Paris MastersR64hardJan Lennard Struff6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Musetti L.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Struff J.

Struff J.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Musetti L.Struff J.
54
Serve
36
62
Return
41

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.1
8.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
89
61
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Dominant
82
21
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
68
Tiebreaks·Even
95
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.3+169 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.7Hard Elo 1634
8.4Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
1.6Overall Elo 1694
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
5.2
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
71

Struff J.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast