Ugo Humbert vs Brandon NakashimaParis Masters Round of 64

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#30ATP
1868ELO
1843Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 28 October 2024
hard
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Humbert U.
6-3 4-6 6-4
Nakashima B.
Humbert U.
6462
Nakashima B.
3641

Ugo Humbert defeated Brandon Nakashima 6-3 4-6 6-4 in the Paris Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Ugo Humbert came in ranked #30, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 32. Ugo Humbert extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Ugo Humbert closed it out in three sets, 6–3 4–6 6–4.

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-25TokyoR16hardUgo Humbert6-3 6-2
2024-07-01WimbledonR32grassUgo Humbert7-6(9) 6-3 6-7(5) 7-6(6)
2022-05-09Rome MastersQ1clayBrandon Nakashima6-3 6-3
2018-08-27US OpenQ2hardUgo Humbert7-6(4) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Humbert U.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Humbert U.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Humbert U.Nakashima B.
64
Serve
61
15
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
67%
68%
Return points won·Even
36%
35%
Break points saved·Even
65%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.9
8.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (128 vs 176). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
70
56
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Clear edge
37
13
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
64
Tiebreaks·Even
91
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+56 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1788
5.6Overall Elo 1868
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1839
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.0
Surface form
4.3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
7.0
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.8
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
84

Humbert U.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Nakashima B.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
14°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 92%