Ugo Humbert vs Brandon NakashimaTokyo Round of 16

Tokyo · ATP · Round of 16
#30ATP
1868ELO
1843Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 25 September 2024
hard
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Humbert U.
6-3 6-2
Nakashima B.
Humbert U.
662
Nakashima B.
320

Ugo Humbert defeated Brandon Nakashima 6-3 6-2 in the Tokyo round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Ugo Humbert came in ranked #30, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Ugo Humbert extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-28Paris MastersR64hardUgo Humbert6-3 4-6 6-4
2024-07-01WimbledonR32grassUgo Humbert7-6(9) 6-3 6-7(5) 7-6(6)
2022-05-09Rome MastersQ1clayBrandon Nakashima6-3 6-3
2018-08-27US OpenQ2hardUgo Humbert7-6(4) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Humbert U.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Humbert U.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Humbert U.Nakashima B.
64
Serve
61
15
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
55%
Service points won·Even
67%
68%
Return points won·Even
36%
35%
Break points saved·Even
65%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.9
8.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (128 vs 176). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
70
56
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Clear edge
37
13
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
64
Tiebreaks·Even
91
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+56 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1788
5.6Overall Elo 1868
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1839
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
7.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
3.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
84

Humbert U.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Nakashima B.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 31 km/hHumidity 64%