Ugo Humbert vs Karen KhachanovParis Masters Semi-final

Paris Masters · ATP · Semi-final
#30ATP
1868ELO
1843Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 28 October 2024
hard
#22ATP
1828ELO
1783Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
Humbert U.
6-7 6-4 6-3
Khachanov K.
Humbert U.
66662
Khachanov K.
78431

Ugo Humbert defeated Karen Khachanov 6-7 6-4 6-3 in the Paris Masters semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Karen Khachanov came in ranked #22, defending last year's quarter-final. Ugo Humbert extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-20HamburgR16clayUgo Humbert6-3 3-6 7.7-6.3
2021-07-24Tokyo OlympicsQFhardKaren Khachanov7-6(4) 4-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Humbert U.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Khachanov K.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Humbert U.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Humbert U.Khachanov K.
64
Serve
61
15
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
67%
67%
Return points won·Even
36%
36%
Break points saved·Even
65%
63%
Aces / match·Even
6.9
7.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (128 vs 131). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
70
86
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
37
81
Deciding sets·Slight edge
78
83
Tiebreaks·Even
91
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+60 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1783
5.3Overall Elo 1868
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1828
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
8.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
0.0
4.0
3-set count
0.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.8
Country comfort
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
90
77

Humbert U.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Khachanov K.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
14°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 92%
Semi-finals
Humbert U.[15]
Khachanov K.
6-766-46-3
Zverev A.[3]
Rune H.[13]
6-37-64