Karen Khachanov vs Ugo HumbertTokyo Olympics Quarter-final

Tokyo Olympics · ATP · Quarter-final
#22ATP
1828ELO
1783Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 24 July 2021
hard
#30ATP
1868ELO
1843Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
Khachanov K.
7-6 4-6 6-3
Humbert U.
Khachanov K.
77462
Humbert U.
64631

Karen Khachanov defeated Ugo Humbert 7-6 4-6 6-3 in the Tokyo Olympics quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ugo Humbert came in leading the head-to-head 2–0. Karen Khachanov claimed a first win over Ugo Humbert in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Karen Khachanov closed it out in three sets, 7–6 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-20HamburgR16clayUgo Humbert6-3 3-6 7.7-6.3
2024-10-28Paris MastersSFhardUgo Humbert6-7(6) 6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Khachanov K.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Humbert U.

Humbert U.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Khachanov K.Humbert U.
61
Serve
64
39
Return
15

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.5
6.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
86
70
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
81
37
Deciding sets·Slight edge
83
78
Tiebreaks·Even
92
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1783
Surface ELO
5.6+60 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1828
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1868
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.0
Surface form
5.1
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
4.0
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
92

Khachanov K.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Humbert U.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Draw