Alexander Bublik vs Fabio FogniniParis Masters Round of 64

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 28 October 2024
hard
39 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLWL
Bublik A.
7-5 7-5
Fognini F.
Bublik A.
772
Fognini F.
550

Alexander Bublik defeated Fabio Fognini 7-5 7-5 in the Paris Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Fabio Fognini came in leading the head-to-head 1–0. Alexander Bublik claimed a first win over Fabio Fognini in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-11-06MetzR16hardFabio Fognini4-6 7-6(7) 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Fognini F.

Fognini F.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bublik A.Fognini F.
65
Serve
25
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
59%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.1
2.9
Double faults / match·Even
5.2
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (140 vs 82). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
87
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
93
Break points won·Clear edge
67
81
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
93
Tiebreaks·Even
96
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
0.0
H2H
10.0
1.7
Surface form
3.6
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
8.4
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.6
Country comfort
5.1
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
70

Bublik A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
14°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 92%