Fabio Fognini vs Alexander BublikMetz Round of 16

Metz · ATP · Round of 16
39 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 November 2023
hard
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Fognini F.
4-6 7-6 7-6
Bublik A.
Fognini F.
479772
Bublik A.
667651

Fabio Fognini defeated Alexander Bublik 4-6 7-6 7-6 in the Metz round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's final. Fabio Fognini claimed a first win over Alexander Bublik in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-28Paris MastersR64hardAlexander Bublik7-5 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Fognini F.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Fognini F.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fognini F.Bublik A.
Serve
65
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.8
11.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.8
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (133 vs 194). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
87
88
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
99
Break points won·Clear edge
81
67
Deciding sets·Slight edge
93
99
Tiebreaks·Even
92
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.6
Surface form
6.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.7
Minutes 14d
6.4
4.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
66

Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast