Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro TabiloBasel Round of 16

Basel · ATP · Round of 16
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 October 2024
hard
#33ATP
1819ELO
1750Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWL
Rublev A.
7-6 6-1
Tabilo A.
Rublev A.
7762
Tabilo A.
6310

Andrey Rublev defeated Alejandro Tabilo 7-6 6-1 in the Basel round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13. Andrey Rublev claimed a first win over Alejandro Tabilo in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrey Rublev came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-18Miami MastersR64hardAlejandro Tabilo6-7(5) 6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Tabilo A.

Tabilo A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.Tabilo A.
55
Serve
51
52
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
67%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
66%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.9
6.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (150 vs 152). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
89
74
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Clear edge
72
59
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
92
56

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+99 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1750
5.5Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1819
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
2.7
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
8.2
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
93
96

Rublev A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Tabilo A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast