Holger Rune vs Nicolas JarryBasel Round of 32

Basel · ATP · Round of 32
#77ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 October 2024
hard
#211ATP
1648ELO
1574Hard ELO
$70kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLL
Rune H.
6-4 7-6
Jarry N.
Rune H.
6772
Jarry N.
4630

Holger Rune defeated Nicolas Jarry 6-4 7-6 in the Basel round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Holger Rune came in ranked #77, defending last year's semi-final. Holger Rune claimed a first win over Nicolas Jarry in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR128grassNicolas Jarry4-6 4-6 7-5 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Jarry N.

Jarry N.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rune H.Jarry N.
47
Serve
58
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
34%
Break points saved·Even
64%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
9.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (120 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
48
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Dominant
84
4
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
57
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.2+151 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Hard Elo 1574
6.7Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1648
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.0
Surface form
3.2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.1
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast