Qinwen Zheng vs Jasmine PaoliniWuhan Quarter-final

Wuhan · WTA · Quarter-final
#138WTA
1852ELO
1832Hard ELO
$283kYTD
$10MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 October 2024
hard
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Zheng Q.
6-2 3-6 6-3
Paolini J.
Zheng Q.
6362
Paolini J.
2631

Qinwen Zheng defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-2 3-6 6-3 in the Wuhan quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, but Qinwen Zheng had arrived on a 4-match winning run. Qinwen Zheng extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Qinwen Zheng closed it out in three sets, 6–2 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsRRhardQinwen Zheng6-1 6-1
2023-10-09ZhengzhouSFhardQinwen Zheng6-2 6-3
2023-07-17PalermoFclayQinwen Zheng6-4 1-6 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Zheng Q.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Zheng Q.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Zheng Q.Paolini J.
Serve
31
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
54%
68%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
74%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.3
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (108 vs 138). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
93
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
87
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Even
99
97
Tiebreaks·Even
89
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1832
Surface ELO
5.4+41 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1852
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1905
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.9
Surface form
5.6
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.5
Minutes 14d
7.9
4.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
8.0
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
98
72

Zheng Q.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Paolini J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
18°CDrizzle
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 80%

Draw