Qinwen Zheng vs Jasmine PaoliniZhengzhou Semi-final

Zhengzhou · WTA · Semi-final
#138WTA
1852ELO
1832Hard ELO
$283kYTD
$10MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 October 2023
hard
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Zheng Q.
6-2 6-3
Paolini J.
Zheng Q.
662
Paolini J.
230

Qinwen Zheng defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-2 6-3 in the Zhengzhou semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17. Qinwen Zheng extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsRRhardQinwen Zheng6-1 6-1
2024-10-07WuhanQFhardQinwen Zheng6-2 3-6 6-3
2023-07-17PalermoFclayQinwen Zheng6-4 1-6 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Zheng Q.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Zheng Q.

Serve advantage — Zheng Q.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Zheng Q.Paolini J.
Serve
31
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
53%
68%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
74%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
58%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.5
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (164 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
93
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
87
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Even
99
97
Tiebreaks·Even
89
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1832
Surface ELO
5.4+41 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1852
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1905
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
6.0
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.4
Minutes 14d
6.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
98
76

Zheng Q.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Paolini J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast