Carlos Alcaraz vs Gael MonfilsShanghai Masters Round of 16

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 2 October 2024
hard
#266ATP
1803ELO
1784Hard ELO
39 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWLL
Alcaraz C.
6-4 7-5
Monfils G.
Alcaraz C.
672
Monfils G.
450

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Gael Monfils 6-4 7-5 in the Shanghai Masters round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 16. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersR32hardGael Monfils4-6 7-6(5) 6-4
2024-03-18Miami MastersR32hardCarlos Alcaraz6-2 6-4
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersR16hardCarlos Alcaraz7-5 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Monfils G.

Monfils G.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alcaraz C.Monfils G.
74
Serve
26
95
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
50%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
35%
Break points saved·Even
66%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.2
9.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (170 vs 86). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
89
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Clear edge
99
76
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
92
Tiebreaks·Even
100
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+305 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1784
10.0Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1803
6.1
H2H
3.9
9.4
Surface form
4.9
10.09-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
2.5
Minutes 14d
9.1
7.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 50%