Gael Monfils vs Carlos AlcarazCincinnati Masters Round of 32

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#266ATP
1803ELO
1784Hard ELO
39 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 August 2024
hard
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Monfils G.
4-6 7-6 6-4
Alcaraz C.
Monfils G.
47762
Alcaraz C.
66541

Gael Monfils defeated Carlos Alcaraz 4-6 7-6 6-4 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's final. Gael Monfils claimed a first win over Carlos Alcaraz in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersR16hardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 7-5
2024-03-18Miami MastersR32hardCarlos Alcaraz6-2 6-4
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersR16hardCarlos Alcaraz7-5 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Monfils G.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Alcaraz C.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Monfils G.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Monfils G.Alcaraz C.
26
Serve
74
37
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
57%
Service points won·Even
65%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
42%
Break points saved·Even
62%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.0
5.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.6
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (86 vs 170). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
98
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Clear edge
76
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
100
Tiebreaks·Even
98
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
8.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.0Hard Elo 1784
Surface ELO
10.0+305 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1803
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2162
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.7
Surface form
8.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Country comfort
6.9
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 47%