Anna Blinkova vs Emma NavarroHong Kong 125 Quarter-final

Hong Kong 125 · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#102WTA
1694ELO
1654Hard ELO
27 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 September 2024
hard
#26WTA
1866ELO
1764Hard ELO
$675kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
Blinkova A.
6-4 6-3
Navarro E.
Blinkova A.
662
Navarro E.
43

Anna Blinkova defeated Emma Navarro 6-4 6-3 in the Hong Kong 125 quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Emma Navarro came in ranked #26, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Anna Blinkova narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Anna Blinkova closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-18StrasbourgR16clayEmma Navarro6-4 6-1
2024-08-26US OpenR128hardEmma Navarro6-1 6-1
2023-05-22StrasbourgQFclayAnna Blinkova6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Blinkova A.serving44% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Navarro E.

Navarro E.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Blinkova A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Blinkova A.Navarro E.
0
Serve
43
47
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
53%
55%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.1
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (127 vs 145). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
66
90
Break points saved·Dominant
58
88
Break points won·Slight edge
94
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
68
93
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
94
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1654
Surface ELO
5.9+109 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1866
5.0
H2H
5.0
1.5
Surface form
5.0
0.0Lost last 8
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.4
Minutes 14d
9.2
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
90

Blinkova A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Navarro E.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast