Holger Rune vs Yoshihito NishiokaTokyo Round of 16

Tokyo · ATP · Round of 16
#77ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 25 September 2024
hard
#176ATP
1689ELO
1659Hard ELO
$42kYTD
$7.5MCAREER
30 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLLW
Rune H.
6-2 6-4
Nishioka Y.
Rune H.
662
Nishioka Y.
240

Holger Rune defeated Yoshihito Nishioka 6-2 6-4 in the Tokyo round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Holger Rune came in ranked #77. Holger Rune extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-01-15Australian OpenR128hardHolger Rune6-2 4-6 7-6(3) 6-4
2023-01-02Adelaide 1R32hardYoshihito Nishioka2-6 6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Nishioka Y.

Nishioka Y.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rune H.Nishioka Y.
47
Serve
58
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (120 vs 98). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
91
84
Break points saved·Even
99
95
Break points won·Dominant
84
59
Deciding sets·Even
98
98
Tiebreaks·Even
99
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+65 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1659
6.2Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1689
5.4
H2H
4.6
5.9
Surface form
6.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
8.6
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
4.9
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 31 km/hHumidity 64%