Yoshihito Nishioka vs Holger RuneAdelaide 1 Round of 32

Adelaide 1 · ATP · Round of 32
#177ATP
1689ELO
1659Hard ELO
$42kYTD
$7.5MCAREER
30 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 January 2023
hard
#81ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
Nishioka Y.
2-6 6-4 6-4
Rune H.
Nishioka Y.
2662
Rune H.
6441

Yoshihito Nishioka defeated Holger Rune 2-6 6-4 6-4 in the Adelaide 1 round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Holger Rune came in ranked #81, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 32. Yoshihito Nishioka claimed a first win over Holger Rune in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-25TokyoR16hardHolger Rune6-2 6-4
2024-01-15Australian OpenR128hardHolger Rune6-2 4-6 7-6(3) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Nishioka Y.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Rune H.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Nishioka Y.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nishioka Y.Rune H.
Serve
47
Return
58

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.5
5.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.5
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (142 vs 186). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
84
91
Break points saved·Even
95
99
Break points won·Dominant
59
84
Deciding sets·Even
98
98
Tiebreaks·Even
97
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 63 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1659
Surface ELO
6.1+65 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1689
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1757
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
9.4
Win streak
10.010-match win streak
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast