Ugo Humbert vs Tomas MachacTokyo Semi-final

Tokyo · ATP · Semi-final
#30ATP
1868ELO
1843Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 25 September 2024
hard
#49ATP
1866ELO
1829Hard ELO
$832kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
Humbert U.
6-3 3-6 6-2
Machac T.
Humbert U.
6362
Machac T.
3621

Ugo Humbert defeated Tomas Machac 6-3 3-6 6-2 in the Tokyo semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Ugo Humbert came in ranked #30. Ugo Humbert claimed a first win over Tomas Machac in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Ugo Humbert closed it out in three sets, 6–3 3–6 6–2.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-12AdelaideFhardTomas Machac6-4 6-7(2) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Humbert U.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Machac T.

Machac T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Humbert U.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Humbert U.Machac T.
64
Serve
30
15
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.9
5.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (128 vs 121). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
70
90
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Dominant
37
80
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
91
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.2+14 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Hard Elo 1829
5.1Overall Elo 1868
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1866
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
3.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
9.0
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Humbert U.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 31 km/hHumidity 64%