Naomi Osaka vs Lucia Bronzetti — Beijing Round of 128

Beijing · WTA · Round of 128
Naomi Osaka
JPN
Naomi Osaka
#14WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 25 September 2024
hard
Lucia Bronzetti
ITA
Lucia Bronzetti
#125WTA
1622ELO
1551Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Osaka N.
6-3 6-2
Bronzetti L.
Osaka N.
662
Bronzetti L.
320

Naomi Osaka defeated Lucia Bronzetti 6-3 6-2 in the Beijing round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Naomi Osaka came in ranked #14. Naomi Osaka extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-22MadridR128clayLucia Bronzetti6-4 2-6 6-4
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR128clayNaomi Osaka6-1 4-6 7-5
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Osaka N.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Bronzetti L.

Bronzetti L.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Serve advantage — Osaka N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Osaka N.Bronzetti L.
70
Serve
12
60
Return
14

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Osaka N.Bronzetti L.
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
61%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
74%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
55%
Return points won·Even
42%
43%
Break points saved·Even
59%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.6
2.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 140). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Osaka N.Bronzetti L.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
74
Break points won·Clear edge
97
84
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
60
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
48

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Osaka N.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 44 days (−0.7)
Bronzetti L.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.9+371 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.1Hard Elo 1551
10.0Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1622
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
5.4
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Osaka N.Bronzetti L.
Freshness·Clear edge
79
100

Osaka N.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Bronzetti L.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw

Final
Gauff C.[4]
Muchova K.
6-16-3
Semi-finals
Muchova K.
Zheng Q.[5]
6-36-4
Gauff C.[4]
Badosa P.[15]
4-66-46-2
Quarter-finals
Gauff C.[4]
Starodubtseva Y.
2-66-26-2
Muchova K.
Sabalenka A.[1]
7-652-66-4
Badosa P.[15]
Zhang S.
6-17-64
Zheng Q.[5]
Andreeva M.[17]
5-76-06-4
R16
Gauff C.[4]
Osaka N.
3-66-40-0
Sabalenka A.[1]
Keys M.[18]
6-46-3
Muchova K.
Bucsa C.
6-26-0
Zhang S.
Frech M.[23]
6-46-2
Badosa P.[15]
Pegula J.[2]
6-46-0
Starodubtseva Y.
Kalinskaya A.[10]
7-56-0
Andreeva M.[17]
Linette M.[31]
6-16-3
Zheng Q.[5]
Anisimova A.[34]
3-66-16-2
R32
Gauff C.[4]
Boulter K.[26]
7-56-2
Kalinskaya A.[10]
Stearns P.
3-66-33-1
Andreeva M.[17]
Vekic D.[16]
3-66-46-4
Muchova K.
Cristian J.
6-16-3
Starodubtseva Y.
Avanesyan E.
6-36-1
Osaka N.
Volynets K.
6-36-2
Badosa P.[15]
Sramkova R.
7-57-5
Frech M.[23]
Shnaider D.[12]
0-66-36-4
Anisimova A.[34]
Kasatkina D.[9]
7-616-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Krueger A.
6-26-2
Keys M.[18]
Haddad Maia B.[13]
6-36-3
Bucsa C.
Mertens E.[24]
4-66-26-2
Linette M.[31]
Paolini J.[3]
6-46-0
Zheng Q.[5]
Podoroska N.
6-36-2
Zhang S.
Minnen G.
6-26-3
Pegula J.[2]
Kudermetova V.[32]
6-796-16-2
R64
Osaka N.
Putintseva Y.[21]
3-66-46-2
Shnaider D.[12]
Kenin S.
6-26-3
Keys M.[18]
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-26-1
Badosa P.[15]
Tomova V.
6-36-2
Zhang S.
Navarro E.[6]
6-46-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Sawangkaew M.
6-46-1
Krueger A.
Sun L.[29]
6-17-64
Haddad Maia B.[13]
Wei S.
7-56-4
Bucsa C.
Samsonova L.[11]
6-14-66-4
Mertens E.[24]
Cocciaretto E.
6-46-766-3
Muchova K.
Yuan Y.[30]
6-36-1
Avanesyan E.
Dolehide C.[33]
6-35-76-2
Starodubtseva Y.
Siniakova K.[27]
6-26-2
Stearns P.
Fernandez L.[20]
7-56-2
Kalinskaya A.[10]
Baptiste H.
3-67-627-65
Volynets K.
Kostyuk M.[14]
7-56-3
Frech M.[23]
Parks A.
6-45-76-4
Paolini J.[3]
Tauson C.
1-67-56-4
Linette M.[31]
Uchijima M.
6-44-66-3
Andreeva M.[17]
Begu I.
6-756-16-1
Vekic D.[16]
Golubic V.
4-67-636-4
Kasatkina D.[9]
Fett J.
6-16-2
Podoroska N.
Yastremska D.[25]
7-56-746-2
Boulter K.[26]
Townsend T.
6-46-4
Gauff C.[4]
Burel C.
7-56-3
Kudermetova V.[32]
Wang X.
3-66-47-5
Pegula J.[2]
Parry D.
6-17-64
Anisimova A.[34]
Osorio C.
1-66-36-4
Cristian J.
Krejcikova B.[7]
1-66-47-5
Zheng Q.[5]
Rakhimova K.
6-16-1
Minnen G.
Potapova A.[28]
7-52-66-4
Sramkova R.
Alexandrova E.[22]
5-76-46-3
R128
Zhang S.
Kessler M.
7-657-61
Burel C.
Korpatsch T.
6-35-76-3
Tauson C.
Dart H.
5-76-46-1
Bucsa C.
Yao X.
6-36-2
Cristian J.
Bondar A.
6-17-65
Uchijima M.
Shi H.
6-36-4
Golubic V.
Wang X.
7-650-66-3
Fett J.
Wang M.
6-36-4
Avanesyan E.
Bektas E.
6-27-5
Baptiste H.
Gracheva V.
6-06-3
Osaka N.
Bronzetti L.
6-36-2
Townsend T.
Trevisan M.
6-24-66-3
Minnen G.
Andreeva E.
7-56-2
Kenin S.
Bogdan A.
7-56-2
Tomova V.
Tsurenko L.
6-36-3
Sramkova R.
Kalinina A.
6-46-0
Parry D.
Liang E.
4-66-06-0
Krueger A.
Wang Y.
3-66-46-2
Sorribes Tormo S.
Gao X.
6-747-57-5
Muchova K.
Blinkova A.
6-16-1
Podoroska N.
Ren Y.
6-46-2
Rakhimova K.
Birrell K.
6-26-4
Stearns P.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-26-4
Begu I.
Ma Y.
1-66-46-1
Osorio C.
Tomljanovic A.
1-66-36-3
Volynets K.
Galfi D.
7-56-1
Parks A.
Wang Q.
1-66-46-2
Wang X.
Hontama M.
6-16-3
Cocciaretto E.
Rodionova A.
4-66-46-3
Sawangkaew M.
Diyas Z.
6-26-3
Wei S.
Ruse E.
6-47-66
Starodubtseva Y.
Siegemund L.
6-47-63