Kamilla Rakhimova vs Tatjana MariaGuadalajara 125 Final

Guadalajara 125 · CHALLENGER · Final
#78WTA
1693ELO
1671Hard ELO
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 September 2024
hard
#76WTA
1703ELO
1608Hard ELO
38 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW
Rakhimova K.
6-3 6-7 6-3
Maria T.
Rakhimova K.
66562
Maria T.
37731

Kamilla Rakhimova defeated Tatjana Maria 6-3 6-7 6-3 in the Guadalajara 125 final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tatjana Maria came in ranked #76, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Kamilla Rakhimova claimed a first win over Tatjana Maria in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-07LondonFgrassTatjana Maria6-4 6-3
2022-04-04BogotaSFclayTatjana Maria6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Rakhimova K.serving59% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Maria T.

Maria T.serving54% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Rakhimova K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rakhimova K.Maria T.
4
Serve
9
42
Return
13

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.7
3.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (158 vs 133). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
47
13
Break points saved·Dominant
67
31
Break points won·Clear edge
91
78
Deciding sets·Dominant
62
9
Tiebreaks·Dominant
10
58

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+63 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1608
6.2Overall Elo 1693
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1703
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
5.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.3
7.0
3-set count
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
94
70

Rakhimova K.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Maria T.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast