Pavel Kotov vs Alexandre MullerWinston-Salem Round of 32

Winston-Salem · ATP · Round of 32
#246ATP
1597ELO
1601Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 19 August 2024
hard
#132ATP
1665ELO
1630Hard ELO
$426kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
Kotov P.
6-4 5-7 6-2
Muller A.
Kotov P.
6562
Muller A.
4721

Pavel Kotov defeated Alexandre Muller 6-4 5-7 6-2 in the Winston-Salem round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexandre Muller came in ranked #132, defending last year's round of 64. Pavel Kotov extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Pavel Kotov closed it out in three sets, 6–4 5–7 6–2.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-20LyonR16clayPavel Kotov7-6(8) 6-1
2023-04-03MarrakechSFclayAlexandre Muller7-6(3) 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Kotov P.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Muller A.

Muller A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Kotov P.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kotov P.Muller A.
Serve
11
Return
13

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.0
3.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (105 vs 141). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
59
75
Break points saved·Even
94
94
Break points won·Dominant
13
44
Deciding sets·Clear edge
82
95
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
76
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1601
Surface ELO
5.3+30 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1597
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1665
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.2
Surface form
3.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.8
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Muller A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast