Pavel Kotov vs Alexandre Muller — Lyon Round of 16

Lyon · ATP · Round of 16
Pavel Kotov
RUS
Pavel Kotov
#249ATP
1597ELO
1529Clay ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 May 2024
clay
Alexandre Muller
FRA
Alexandre Muller
#126ATP
1665ELO
1628Clay ELO
$426kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
Kotov P.
7-6 6-1
Muller A.
Kotov P.
71062
Muller A.
6810

Pavel Kotov defeated Alexandre Muller 7-6 6-1 in the Lyon round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alexandre Muller came in ranked #126, defending last year's round of 32, but Pavel Kotov had been the form player, winning 2 of their last 7 on clay. Pavel Kotov extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Pavel Kotov came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-19Winston-SalemR32hardPavel Kotov6-4 5-7 6-2
2023-04-03MarrakechSFclayAlexandre Muller7-6(3) 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Kotov P.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Muller A.

Muller A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Kotov P.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Kotov P.Muller A.
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.0
3.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (105 vs 141). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kotov P.Muller A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
59
75
Break points saved·Even
94
94
Break points won·Dominant
13
44
Deciding sets·Clear edge
82
95
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
76
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kotov P.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Muller A.
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.8Clay Elo 1529
Surface ELO
6.2+100 Clay Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1597
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1665
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.7
Surface form
6.5
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.6
Minutes 14d
3.2
7.0
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kotov P.Muller A.
Freshness·
—
98

Muller A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Etcheverry T.[6]
6-41-67-67
Semi-finals
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Bublik A.[2]
6-47-5
Etcheverry T.[6]
Darderi L.
6-26-4
Quarter-finals
Darderi L.
Rinderknech A.
W/O
Bublik A.[2]
Kotov P.
6-747-646-3
Etcheverry T.[6]
Koepfer D.
6-46-1
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Gaston H.
6-44-66-3
R16
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Nishioka Y.
W/O
Etcheverry T.[6]
Seyboth Wild T.
7-53-0
Darderi L.
Mannarino A.[3]
7-646-3
Gaston H.
Cerundolo F.[4]
6-22-66-3
Koepfer D.
Humbert U.[1]
2-66-46-4
Rinderknech A.
Tiafoe F.[5]
7-676-4
Kotov P.
Muller A.
7-686-1
Bublik A.[2]
Vukic A.
6-46-2
R32
Gaston H.
Galan D.
7-627-64
Seyboth Wild T.
Martinez P.
6-46-1
Darderi L.
Daniel T.
7-57-63
Tiafoe F.[5]
Munar J.
7-656-4
Vukic A.
Mcdonald M.
6-26-2
Rinderknech A.
Evans D.
6-34-67-66
Koepfer D.
Barranco Cosano J.
6-46-746-4
Etcheverry T.[6]
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
1-66-26-2
Nishioka Y.
Fanselow S.
6-06-1
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Sonego L.
6-36-4
Kotov P.
Cachin P.
6-16-4
Muller A.
Gasquet R.
6-46-4