Lorenzo Musetti vs Nicolas JarryCincinnati Masters Round of 64

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 August 2024
hard
#211ATP
1648ELO
1574Hard ELO
$70kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLL
Musetti L.
4-6 7-6 7-6
Jarry N.
Musetti L.
477772
Jarry N.
665641

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Nicolas Jarry 4-6 7-6 7-6 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, defending last year's round of 32. Lorenzo Musetti claimed a first win over Nicolas Jarry in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-02-20Rio de JaneiroR32clayNicolas Jarry6-4 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Musetti L.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Jarry N.

Jarry N.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Musetti L.Jarry N.
54
Serve
62
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.0
9.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (155 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
89
48
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Dominant
82
4
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
57
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.1+230 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.9Hard Elo 1574
9.0Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
1.0Overall Elo 1648
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
5.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.3
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
4.7
Country comfort
4.4
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 47%