Varvara Gracheva vs Aliaksandra SasnovichCincinnati Qualifying Round 2

Cincinnati · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#95WTA
1810ELO
1763Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 August 2024
hard
#143WTA
1726ELO
1697Hard ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
Gracheva V.
6-4 6-3
Sasnovich A.
Gracheva V.
662
Sasnovich A.
43

Varvara Gracheva defeated Aliaksandra Sasnovich 6-4 6-3 in the Cincinnati qualifying round 2 on hard. The result followed the form book — Varvara Gracheva came in ranked #95. Varvara Gracheva claimed a first win over Aliaksandra Sasnovich in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR128grassAliaksandra Sasnovich6-4 6-7(5) 7-6(8)

Serve vs return

This season
Gracheva V.serving51% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Sasnovich A.

Sasnovich A.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gracheva V.Sasnovich A.
3
Serve
37
27
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (126 vs 136). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
74
61
Break points saved·Even
76
79
Break points won·Slight edge
87
93
Deciding sets·Clear edge
90
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
65
25

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+66 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1697
5.7Overall Elo 1810
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1726
5.0
H2H
5.0
1.5
Surface form
2.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Sasnovich A.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast