Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Varvara Gracheva — Wimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
BLR15
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
#122WTA
1726ELO
1605Grass ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 June 2025
grass
Varvara Gracheva
FRA
Varvara Gracheva
#88WTA
1810ELO
1641Grass ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
Sasnovich A.
6-4 6-7 7-6
Gracheva V.
Sasnovich A.
6657102
Gracheva V.
477681

Aliaksandra Sasnovich defeated Varvara Gracheva 6-4 6-7 7-6 in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Varvara Gracheva came in ranked #88, defending last year's round of 64.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sasnovich A.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Gracheva V.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sasnovich A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Sasnovich A.Gracheva V.
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
53%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
2.6
Double faults / match·Even
3.7
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (86 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sasnovich A.Gracheva V.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
61
74
Break points saved·Even
79
76
Break points won·Slight edge
93
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
72
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
25
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sasnovich A.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Gracheva V.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.1Grass Elo 1605
Surface ELO
4.9+36 Grass Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1726
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1810
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
6.9
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
6.2
7.0
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sasnovich A.Gracheva V.
Freshness·
100
—

Sasnovich A.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[3]
Anisimova A.[6]
6-06-0
Semi-finals
Anisimova A.[6]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-44-66-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Bencic B.[11]
6-26-0
Quarter-finals
Swiatek I.[3]
Samsonova L.[19]
6-27-5
Bencic B.[11]
Andreeva M.[5]
7-637-62
Anisimova A.[6]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-17-69
Sabalenka A.[1]
Siegemund L.
4-66-26-4
R16
Sabalenka A.[1]
Mertens E.[25]
6-47-64
Anisimova A.[6]
Noskova L.[9]
6-25-76-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Tauson C.[24]
6-46-1
Andreeva M.[5]
Navarro E.[23]
6-26-3
Siegemund L.
Sierra S.
6-36-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Kartal S.
7-636-4
Bencic B.[11]
Alexandrova E.[18]
7-646-4
Samsonova L.[19]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
7-57-5
R32
Anisimova A.[6]
Galfi D.[10]
6-35-76-3
Mertens E.[25]
Svitolina E.[8]
6-17-64
Noskova L.[9]
Rakhimova K.
7-667-5
Siegemund L.
Keys M.[26]
6-36-3
Swiatek I.[3]
Collins D.
6-26-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Osaka N.[14]
3-66-46-4
Tauson C.[24]
Rybakina E.[2]
7-666-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Raducanu E.[30]
7-666-4
Andreeva M.[5]
Baptiste H.
6-16-3
Bencic B.[11]
Cocciaretto E.
6-43-67-67
Navarro E.[23]
Krejcikova B.[17]
2-66-36-4
Sierra S.
Bucsa C.
7-51-66-1
Kartal S.
Parry D.
6-46-2
Alexandrova E.[18]
Sonmez Z.
6-37-61
Samsonova L.[19]
Kasatkina D.[16]
6-26-3
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Yastremska D.
6-12-66-3
R64
Kartal S.
Tomova V.
6-26-2
Galfi D.[10]
Haddad Maia B.[21]
7-676-1
Alexandrova E.[18]
Lamens S.[27]
6-46-0
Cocciaretto E.
Volynets K.[5]
6-06-4
Svitolina E.[8]
Sasnovich A.[15]
6-26-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Krueger A.
7-646-4
Andreeva M.[5]
Bronzetti L.[20]
6-17-64
Siegemund L.
Fernandez L.[22]
6-26-3
Rybakina E.[2]
Sakkari M.
6-36-1
Bucsa C.
Vekic D.[31]
6-16-3
Mertens E.[25]
Li A.[28]
6-756-16-2
Keys M.[26]
Danilovic O.
6-46-2
Rakhimova K.
Paolini J.[13]
4-66-46-4
Noskova L.[9]
Lys E.
6-22-66-3
Anisimova A.[6]
Zarazua R.
6-46-3
Parry D.
Shnaider D.[15]
6-46-1
Tauson C.[24]
Kalinskaya A.[19]
6-37-610
Sonmez Z.
Wang X.
7-57-5
Krejcikova B.[17]
Dolehide C.
6-43-66-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Kenin S.[28]
6-17-64
Sierra S.
Boulter K.
6-776-26-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bouzkova M.[21]
7-646-4
Raducanu E.[30]
Vondrousova M.
6-36-3
Osaka N.[14]
Siniakova K.[32]
6-36-2
Baptiste H.
Mboko V.
7-666-3
Navarro E.[23]
Kudermetova V.
6-16-2
Bencic B.[11]
Jacquemot E.
4-66-16-2
Swiatek I.[3]
Mcnally C.
5-76-26-1
Collins D.
Erjavec V.
6-46-1
Kasatkina D.[16]
Begu I.
6-24-66-1
Samsonova L.[19]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-26-1
Yastremska D.
Zakharova A.
5-77-57-68
R128
Tomova V.
Jabeur O.
7-652-0
Sasnovich A.[15]
Gracheva V.
6-46-757-68
Volynets K.[5]
Maria T.
3-67-646-1
Kudermetova V.
Zhu L.[30]
6-36-2
Krueger A.
Stojsavljevic M.
6-36-2
Shnaider D.[15]
Uchijima M.[8]
7-656-3
Bronzetti L.[20]
Teichmann J.[24]
6-47-5
Lamens S.[27]
Jovic I.[16]
6-16-1
Tauson C.[24]
Watson H.
2-66-46-3
Galfi D.[10]
Dart H.
3-66-37-5
Swiatek I.[3]
Kudermetova P.
7-56-1
Andreeva M.[5]
Sherif M.[21]
6-36-3
Bouzkova M.[21]
Sun L.[9]
6-46-4
Krejcikova B.[17]
Eala A.[29]
3-66-26-1
Paolini J.[13]
Sevastova A.
2-66-36-2
Svitolina E.[8]
Bondar A.
6-36-1
Kalinskaya A.[19]
Stojanovic N.
6-37-64
Cocciaretto E.
Pegula J.[4]
6-26-3
Anisimova A.[6]
Putintseva Y.
6-06-0
Navarro E.[23]
Kvitova P.
6-36-1
Raducanu E.[30]
Xu M.
6-36-3
Yastremska D.
Gauff C.[7]
7-636-1
Erjavec V.
Kostyuk M.[12]
3-66-36-4
Rybakina E.[2]
Avanesyan E.
6-26-1
Keys M.[26]
Ruse E.
6-747-57-5
Noskova L.[9]
Pera B.
6-26-4
Osaka N.[14]
Gibson T.
6-47-64
Siniakova K.[32]
Zheng Q.[5]
7-54-66-1
Fernandez L.[22]
Klugman H.
6-16-3
Sakkari M.
Blinkova A.
6-46-4
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Seidel E.
6-33-2
Mboko V.
Frech M.[25]
6-36-2
Mcnally C.
Burrage J.
6-36-1
Danilovic O.
Zhang S.
6-26-4
Rakhimova K.
Ito A.
5-76-36-2
Starodubtseva Y.
Jones F.
1-66-36-1
Kasatkina D.[16]
Arango E.
7-56-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Branstine C.
6-17-5
Dolehide C.
Rus A.
6-26-2
Zakharova A.
Azarenka V.
6-22-66-1
Samsonova L.[19]
Joint M.
6-36-2
Sierra S.
Gadecki O.
6-27-68
Vondrousova M.
Kessler M.[32]
6-17-63
Mertens E.[25]
Fruhvirtova L.
6-46-2
Li A.[28]
Golubic V.
6-34-66-1
Boulter K.
Badosa P.[9]
6-23-66-4
Bucsa C.
Todoni A.
6-46-4
Vekic D.[31]
Birrell K.
6-06-4
Siegemund L.
Stearns P.
6-46-2
Lys E.
Yuan Y.[17]
6-45-76-2
Haddad Maia B.[21]
Sramkova R.[16]
7-676-4
Zarazua R.
Wickmayer Y.
6-06-3
Parry D.
Martic P.
4-66-36-2
Kartal S.
Ostapenko J.[20]
7-52-66-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Tomljanovic A.
4-66-36-2
Baptiste H.
Cirstea S.[17]
6-706-16-2
Wang X.
Muchova K.[10]
7-56-2
Sonmez Z.
Cristian J.
7-636-3
Alexandrova E.[18]
Hon P.
6-27-5
Jacquemot E.
Linette M.[27]
6-776-16-4
Bencic B.[11]
Parks A.
6-06-3
Collins D.
Osorio C.
6-36-2
Begu I.
Juvan K.
7-661-66-3
Kenin S.[28]
Townsend T.
7-656-2