Flavio Cobolli vs Tommy PaulCincinnati Masters Round of 64

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#10ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 August 2024
hard
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Cobolli F.
6-2 4-6 7-5
Paul T.
Cobolli F.
6472
Paul T.
2651

Flavio Cobolli defeated Tommy Paul 6-2 4-6 7-5 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 64 on hard.

Key context

  • Match story: Flavio Cobolli closed it out in three sets, 6–2 4–6 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Cobolli F.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cobolli F.Paul T.
20
Serve
71
35
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
55%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Even
63%
65%
Aces / match·Even
5.4
6.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (159 vs 130). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
93
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Dominant
35
87
Deciding sets·Even
98
98
Tiebreaks·Even
95
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1810
Surface ELO
5.8+72 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1896
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1949
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
5.7
Fatigue & Travel
1.2
Minutes 14d
7.6
0.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
7.5
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
61
86

Cobolli F.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 63 games (7d) · Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 47%