Holger Rune vs Matteo BerrettiniCincinnati Masters Round of 64

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#77ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 August 2024
hard
#51ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Rune H.
2-6 6-1 6-4
Berrettini M.
Rune H.
2662
Berrettini M.
6141

Holger Rune defeated Matteo Berrettini 2-6 6-1 6-4 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Berrettini came in ranked #51, defending last year's round of 64. Holger Rune extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-13Australian OpenR64hardHolger Rune7-6(3) 2-6 6-3 7-6(6)
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersR64hardHolger Rune4-6 6-4 6-3
2023-02-27AcapulcoQFhardHolger Rune6-0 1-0 RET
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersR64hardMatteo Berrettini6-3 4-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Berrettini M.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rune H.Berrettini M.
47
Serve
57
58
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
69%
Return points won·Even
36%
35%
Break points saved·Even
65%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
9.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (120 vs 105). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
91
81
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
84
53
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
91
Tiebreaks·Even
99
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1725
Surface ELO
5.6+73 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1831
5.4
H2H
4.6
6.8
Surface form
5.4
Win streak
10.010-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.0
Country comfort
4.4
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
73

Berrettini M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 47%