Matteo Berrettini vs Holger RuneIndian Wells Masters Round of 64

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#51ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 March 2022
hard
#77ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
Berrettini M.
6-3 4-6 6-4
Rune H.
Berrettini M.
6462
Rune H.
3641

Matteo Berrettini defeated Holger Rune 6-3 4-6 6-4 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Matteo Berrettini came in ranked #51, defending last year's round of 32. Matteo Berrettini claimed a first win over Holger Rune in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

04
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-13Australian OpenR64hardHolger Rune7-6(3) 2-6 6-3 7-6(6)
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersR64hardHolger Rune4-6 6-4 6-3
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersR64hardHolger Rune2-6 6-1 6-4
2023-02-27AcapulcoQFhardHolger Rune6-0 1-0 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Berrettini M.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Rune H.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Berrettini M.Rune H.
57
Serve
47
10
Return
58

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
69%
66%
Return points won·Even
35%
36%
Break points saved·Even
69%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.9
5.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.7
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (171 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
81
91
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
53
84
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
98
Tiebreaks·Even
98
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+73 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1725
5.6Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1757
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.8
Surface form
4.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.3
Minutes 14d
9.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
4.7
Country comfort
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
73

Berrettini M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 10%