Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Daniil MedvedevCanada Masters Round of 32

Canada Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#20ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 5 August 2024
hard
#8ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-4 1-6 6-2
Medvedev D.
Davidovich Fokina A.
6162
Medvedev D.
4621

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina defeated Daniil Medvedev 6-4 1-6 6-2 in the Canada Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 6–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina claimed a first win over Daniil Medvedev in seven meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

Head to head

06
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersR32hardDaniil Medvedev6-3 7-6(5)
2025-09-25BeijingR16hardDaniil Medvedev6-3 6-3
2024-02-26DubaiQFhardDaniil Medvedev6-2 6-3
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersQFhardDaniil Medvedev6-3 7-5
2023-02-13RotterdamR32hardDaniil Medvedev4-6 6-2 6-2
2021-05-03Madrid MastersR32clayDaniil Medvedev4-6 6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Davidovich Fokina A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Medvedev D.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Serve advantage — Medvedev D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Davidovich Fokina A.Medvedev D.
40
Serve
47
53
Return
94

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
64%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
7.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (128 vs 157). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
91
96
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Even
95
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
90
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
85
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1842
Surface ELO
6.7+120 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1893
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1977
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.1
Surface form
8.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
2.1
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
Country comfort
6.6
Surface transition
6.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
79
87

Davidovich Fokina A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Medvedev D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°CDrizzle
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%