Daniil Medvedev vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDubai Quarter-final

Dubai · ATP · Quarter-final
#9ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 February 2024
hard
#23ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Medvedev D.
6-2 6-3
Davidovich Fokina A.
Medvedev D.
662
Davidovich Fokina A.
230

Daniil Medvedev defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-2 6-3 in the Dubai quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 5–1, defending the title. Daniil Medvedev extended the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

Head to head

51
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersR32hardDaniil Medvedev6-3 7-6(5)
2025-09-25BeijingR16hardDaniil Medvedev6-3 6-3
2024-08-05Canada MastersR32hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 1-6 6-2
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersQFhardDaniil Medvedev6-3 7-5
2023-02-13RotterdamR32hardDaniil Medvedev4-6 6-2 6-2
2021-05-03Madrid MastersR32clayDaniil Medvedev4-6 6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Medvedev D.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Davidovich Fokina A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Serve advantage — Medvedev D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Medvedev D.Davidovich Fokina A.
47
Serve
40
94
Return
53

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.5
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (157 vs 128). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
96
91
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Even
99
95
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
91
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 42 days (−1.0)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+120 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Hard Elo 1842
6.4Overall Elo 1977
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1893
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.7
Surface form
4.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.6
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
82
70

Medvedev D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Davidovich Fokina A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 27 km/hHumidity 67%