Matteo Arnaldi vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaCanada Masters Round of 16

Canada Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#34ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
0 — 0
Sets
Retired
Monday, 5 August 2024
hard
#20ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Arnaldi M.
4-6 7-6 3-0
Davidovich Fokina A.
Arnaldi M.
4773
Davidovich Fokina A.
6650

Matteo Arnaldi advanced when Alejandro Davidovich Fokina retired 4-6 7-6 3-0 in the Canada Masters round of 16. Matteo Arnaldi narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersR64hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 6-4
2025-02-10Delray BeachSFhardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 6-4
2025-02-03DallasR16hardMatteo Arnaldi6-1 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Davidovich Fokina A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Serve advantage — Davidovich Fokina A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Arnaldi M.Davidovich Fokina A.
23
Serve
40
22
Return
53

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.4
4.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (117 vs 128). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
91
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Dominant
51
95
Deciding sets·Even
86
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1732
Surface ELO
6.9+110 Hard Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1830
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1893
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
5.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
2.1
7.0
3-set count
0.0
Prev. match
6.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
96
79

Arnaldi M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Davidovich Fokina A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°CDrizzle
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%