Frances Tiafoe vs Andrey RublevWashington Quarter-final

Washington · ATP · Quarter-final
#17ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 July 2024
hard
#16ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Tiafoe F.
6-4 7-6
Rublev A.
Tiafoe F.
6772
Rublev A.
4630

Frances Tiafoe defeated Andrey Rublev 6-4 7-6 in the Washington quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Frances Tiafoe extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-08-29US OpenQFhardFrances Tiafoe7-6(3) 7-6(0) 6-4
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersR32hardAndrey Rublev6-3 6-4
2021-08-30US OpenR32hardFrances Tiafoe4-6 6-3 7-6(6) 4-6 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Tiafoe F.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tiafoe F.Rublev A.
38
Serve
55
37
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
67%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
66%
Aces / match·Even
7.8
7.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (130 vs 150). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
83
88
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Clear edge
57
72
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+13 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1849
5.0Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1902
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.7
Surface form
5.7
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.9
Minutes 14d
5.2
7.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.1
Country comfort
5.6
Surface transition
6.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
82
100

Tiafoe F.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Rublev A.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 63%