Andrey Rublev vs Frances TiafoeIndian Wells Masters Round of 32

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 March 2022
hard
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Rublev A.
6-3 6-4
Tiafoe F.
Rublev A.
662
Tiafoe F.
340

Andrey Rublev defeated Frances Tiafoe 6-3 6-4 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 32, but Andrey Rublev had arrived on a 11-match winning run. Andrey Rublev claimed a first win over Frances Tiafoe in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrey Rublev closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-29WashingtonQFhardFrances Tiafoe6-4 7-6(3)
2022-08-29US OpenQFhardFrances Tiafoe7-6(3) 7-6(0) 6-4
2021-08-30US OpenR32hardFrances Tiafoe4-6 6-3 7-6(6) 4-6 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Tiafoe F.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.Tiafoe F.
55
Serve
38
52
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
67%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Even
66%
64%
Aces / match·Even
7.9
8.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
83
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Clear edge
72
57
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
92
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1849
Surface ELO
5.1+13 Hard Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1918
5.0
H2H
5.0
10.0
Surface form
5.0
10.011-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.8
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
5.6
Country comfort
6.8
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
93
72

Rublev A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Tiafoe F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 10%