Anna Karolina Schmiedlova vs Jasmine Paolini — Paris Olympics Round of 16

Paris Olympics · WTA · Round of 16
SVK
Anna Karolina Schmiedlova
31 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 July 2024
clay
Jasmine Paolini
ITA4
Jasmine Paolini
#15WTA
1905ELO
1856Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Schmiedlova A.
7-5 3-6 7-5
Paolini J.
Schmiedlova A.
7372
Paolini J.
5651

Anna Karolina Schmiedlova defeated Jasmine Paolini 7-5 3-6 7-5 in the Paris Olympics round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in leading the head-to-head 3–2. Anna Karolina Schmiedlova narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

2–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-04-14BJK Cup QLS R1: SVK vs ITARRhardAnna Karolina Schmiedlova6-1 4-6 6-4
2022-07-18PalermoR32clayJasmine Paolini6-3 6-1
2022-01-03Melbourne 2R32hardJasmine Paolini2-6 6-3 6-4
2021-03-15MonterreyR16hardAnna Karolina Schmiedlova2-6 6-2 6-2
2018-04-30PragueR16clayJasmine Paolini6-4 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Schmiedlova A.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Schmiedlova A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Schmiedlova A.Paolini J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
49%
Service points won·Even
54%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
55%
Aces / match·Even
2.0
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.3
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (60 vs 138). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Schmiedlova A.Paolini J.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
48
89
Break points saved·Dominant
20
87
Break points won·Clear edge
85
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
66
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Schmiedlova A.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Paolini J.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Injury return: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.2
Surface form
7.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.1
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Schmiedlova A.Paolini J.
Freshness·
—
79

Paolini J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw

Bronze
Swiatek I.[1]
Schmiedlova A.
6-26-1
Final
Zheng Q.
Vekic D.[13]
6-26-3
Semi-finals
Vekic D.[13]
Schmiedlova A.
6-46-0
Zheng Q.
Swiatek I.[1]
6-27-5
Quarter-finals
Swiatek I.[1]
Collins D.[8]
6-12-64-1
Schmiedlova A.
Krejcikova B.[9]
6-46-2
Zheng Q.
Kerber A.
6-746-47-66
Vekic D.[13]
Kostyuk M.[12]
6-42-67-68
R16
Swiatek I.[1]
Wang X.
6-36-4
Collins D.[8]
Osorio C.
6-04-66-3
Kerber A.
Fernandez L.[16]
6-46-3
Zheng Q.
Navarro E.[11]
6-777-646-1
Kostyuk M.[12]
Sakkari M.[7]
4-67-656-4
Vekic D.[13]
Gauff C.[2]
7-676-2
Schmiedlova A.
Paolini J.[4]
7-53-67-5
Krejcikova B.[9]
Svitolina E.
7-652-66-4
R32
Krejcikova B.[9]
Wang X.
6-36-2
Sakkari M.[7]
Yuan Y.
6-26-1
Vekic D.[13]
Andreescu B.
6-36-4
Navarro E.[11]
Tomova V.
6-756-46-1
Swiatek I.[1]
Parry D.
6-16-1
Wang X.
Shnaider D.[15]
6-36-1
Fernandez L.[16]
Bucsa C.
7-646-3
Zheng Q.
Rus A.
6-26-4
Collins D.[8]
Wozniacki C.
6-33-66-3
Kerber A.
Cristian J.
6-43-66-4
Schmiedlova A.
Haddad Maia B.[14]
6-46-4
Osorio C.
Yastremska D.
7-646-4
Paolini J.[4]
Linette M.
6-46-1
Gauff C.[2]
Carle M.
6-16-1
Kostyuk M.[12]
Burel C.
7-636-2
Svitolina E.
Pegula J.[5]
4-66-16-3
R64
Collins D.[8]
Siegemund L.
6-32-0
Wang X.
Noskova L.
6-36-3
Tomova V.
Frech M.
6-47-64
Vekic D.[13]
Bronzetti L.
6-27-5
Sakkari M.[7]
Kovinic D.
6-06-1
Parry D.
Podoroska N.
7-667-5
Osorio C.
Ostapenko J.[10]
6-46-3
Yastremska D.
Pigossi L.
3-67-56-0
Bucsa C.
Martic P.
6-46-3
Burel C.
Siniakova K.
7-636-4
Kostyuk M.[12]
Sun L.
6-46-3
Linette M.
Andreeva M.
6-36-4
Wang X.
Korpatsch T.
6-26-1
Schmiedlova A.
Boulter K.
6-46-2
Rus A.
Gadecki O.
6-46-1
Zheng Q.
Errani S.
6-06-0
Pegula J.[5]
Golubic V.
6-36-4
Krejcikova B.[9]
Sorribes Tormo S.
4-66-07-63
Yuan Y.
Alexandrova E.
7-56-706-2
Svitolina E.
Uchijima M.
6-26-1
Kerber A.
Osaka N.
7-56-3
Gauff C.[2]
Tomljanovic A.
6-36-0
Navarro E.[11]
Grabher J.
6-26-0
Haddad Maia B.[14]
Gracheva V.
6-44-66-0
Wozniacki C.
Sherif M.
2-67-56-1
Andreescu B.
Tauson C.
6-26-3
Paolini J.[4]
Bogdan A.
7-56-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Begu I.
6-27-5
Fernandez L.[16]
Muchova K.
6-14-66-2
Shnaider D.[15]
Cocciaretto E.
6-27-5
Carle M.
Maria T.
6-06-0
Cristian J.
Garcia C.[17]
5-76-36-4