Jasmine Paolini vs Anna Karolina SchmiedlovaMelbourne 2 Round of 32

Melbourne 2 · WTA · Round of 32
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 January 2022
hard
31 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWLL
Paolini J.
2-6 6-3 6-4
Schmiedlova A.
Paolini J.
2662
Schmiedlova A.
6341

Jasmine Paolini defeated Anna Karolina Schmiedlova 2-6 6-3 6-4 in the Melbourne 2 round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Anna Karolina Schmiedlova came in leading the head-to-head 3–2. Jasmine Paolini narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsR16clayAnna Karolina Schmiedlova7-5 3-6 7-5
2023-04-14BJK Cup QLS R1: SVK vs ITARRhardAnna Karolina Schmiedlova6-1 4-6 6-4
2022-07-18PalermoR32clayJasmine Paolini6-3 6-1
2021-03-15MonterreyR16hardAnna Karolina Schmiedlova2-6 6-2 6-2
2018-04-30PragueR16clayJasmine Paolini6-4 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Schmiedlova A.

Schmiedlova A.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paolini J.Schmiedlova A.
31
Serve
55
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
44%
Service points won·Even
57%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.3
2.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 160). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
89
48
Break points saved·Dominant
87
20
Break points won·Clear edge
99
85
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
88
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 62 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.9
Surface form
3.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
76

Paolini J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast