Ben Shelton vs Brandon NakashimaWashington Round of 16

Washington · ATP · Round of 16
#6ATP
1960ELO
1922Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
23 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 July 2024
hard
#32ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Shelton B.
7-6 7-6
Nakashima B.
Shelton B.
77772
Nakashima B.
65640

Ben Shelton defeated Brandon Nakashima 7-6 7-6 in the Washington round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Ben Shelton came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 4–0, defending last year's round of 32. Ben Shelton extended the head-to-head to 5–0.

Key context

Head to head

40
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-27Canada MastersR32hardBen Shelton6-7(8) 6-2 7-6(5)
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersR16hardBen Shelton7-6(6) 6-1
2025-01-13Australian OpenR128hardBen Shelton7-6(3) 7-5 7-5
2024-04-01HoustonQFclayBen Shelton7-5 7-6(9)

Serve vs return

This season
Shelton B.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Shelton B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shelton B.Nakashima B.
76
Serve
61
18
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
54%
Service points won·Even
69%
68%
Return points won·Even
33%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
71%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
9.8
8.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.1
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (153 vs 176). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
85
56
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
58
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
64
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
97
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+134 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1788
7.1Overall Elo 1960
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1839
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.7
Surface form
5.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
7.6
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
7.0
Country comfort
6.7
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
95
90

Shelton B.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Nakashima B.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 63%