Ben Shelton vs Brandon NakashimaHouston Quarter-final

Houston · ATP · Quarter-final
#5ATP
1960ELO
1845Clay ELO
$2.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
23 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 April 2024
clay
#31ATP
1839ELO
1735Clay ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Shelton B.
7-5 7-6
Nakashima B.
Shelton B.
77112
Nakashima B.
5690

Ben Shelton defeated Brandon Nakashima 7-5 7-6 in the Houston quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Ben Shelton came in ranked #5, leading the head-to-head 4–0. Ben Shelton extended the head-to-head to 5–0.

Key context

Head to head

40
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-27Canada MastersR32hardBen Shelton6-7(8) 6-2 7-6(5)
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersR16hardBen Shelton7-6(6) 6-1
2025-01-13Australian OpenR128hardBen Shelton7-6(3) 7-5 7-5
2024-07-29WashingtonR16hardBen Shelton7-6(5) 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Shelton B.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving92% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Shelton B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Shelton B.Nakashima B.
100
Serve
0
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
55%
Service points won·Even
69%
68%
Return points won·Even
33%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
71%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
9.9
8.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.1
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (153 vs 176). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
86
56
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
58
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
64
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
97
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
7.3+110 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Clay Elo 1735
7.1Overall Elo 1960
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1839
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.9
Surface form
5.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
6.7
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
86

Shelton B.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Nakashima B.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast