Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo MusettiParis Olympics Semi-final

Paris Olympics · ATP · Semi-final
#8ATP
2059ELO
1959Clay ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 July 2024
clay
#15ATP
1869ELO
1853Clay ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Djokovic N.
6-4 6-2
Musetti L.
Djokovic N.
662
Musetti L.
420

Novak Djokovic defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6-4 6-2 in the Paris Olympics semi-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Novak Djokovic came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 9–1. Novak Djokovic extended the head-to-head to 10–1.

Key context

Head to head

91
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenQFhardNovak Djokovic4-6 3-6 3-1 RET
2025-11-02AthensFhardNovak Djokovic4-6 6-3 7-5
2025-03-19Miami MastersR16hardNovak Djokovic6-2 6-2
2024-07-01WimbledonSFgrassNovak Djokovic6-4 7-6(2) 6-4
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR32clayNovak Djokovic7-5 6-7(6) 2-6 6-3 6-0
2024-04-08Monte Carlo MastersR16clayNovak Djokovic7-5 6-3
2023-04-10Monte Carlo MastersR16clayLorenzo Musetti4-6 7-5 6-4
2022-10-31Paris MastersQFhardNovak Djokovic6-0 6-3
2022-02-21DubaiR32hardNovak Djokovic6-3 6-3
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR16clayNovak Djokovic6-7(7) 6-7(2) 6-1 6-0 4-0 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Djokovic N.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Djokovic N.

Serve advantage — Djokovic N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Djokovic N.Musetti L.
Serve
35
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
54%
Service points won·Even
69%
65%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.5
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (103 vs 155). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
99
89
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Clear edge
99
82
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+107 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Clay Elo 1853
6.4Overall Elo 2059
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1869
7.2
H2H
2.8
7.1
Surface form
7.1
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
4.0
3.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
49

Djokovic N.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 127 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw

Semi-finals
Alcaraz C.[2]
Auger Aliassime F.[13]
6-16-1
Djokovic N.[1]
Musetti L.[11]
6-46-2