Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic — Monte Carlo Masters Round of 16

Monte Carlo Masters · ATP · Round of 16
Lorenzo Musetti
ITA16
Lorenzo Musetti
#14ATP
1869ELO
1853Clay ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 April 2023
clay
Novak Djokovic
SRB1
Novak Djokovic
#7ATP
2059ELO
1959Clay ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Musetti L.
4-6 7-5 6-4
Djokovic N.
Musetti L.
4762
Djokovic N.
6541

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Novak Djokovic 4-6 7-5 6-4 in the Monte Carlo Masters round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Novak Djokovic came in ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 10–0, defending last year's round of 32. Lorenzo Musetti claimed a first win over Novak Djokovic in 11 meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 10–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenQFhardNovak Djokovic4-6 3-6 3-1 RET
2025-11-02AthensFhardNovak Djokovic4-6 6-3 7-5
2025-03-19Miami MastersR16hardNovak Djokovic6-2 6-2
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsSFclayNovak Djokovic6-4 6-2
2024-07-01WimbledonSFgrassNovak Djokovic6-4 7-6(2) 6-4
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR32clayNovak Djokovic7-5 6-7(6) 2-6 6-3 6-0
2024-04-08Monte Carlo MastersR16clayNovak Djokovic7-5 6-3
2022-10-31Paris MastersQFhardNovak Djokovic6-0 6-3
2022-02-21DubaiR32hardNovak Djokovic6-3 6-3
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR16clayNovak Djokovic6-7(7) 6-7(2) 6-1 6-0 4-0 RET
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Musetti L.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Djokovic N.

Djokovic N.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Serve advantage — Djokovic N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Musetti L.Djokovic N.
34
Serve
—
—
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Musetti L.Djokovic N.
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
56%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.1
7.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 166). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Musetti L.Djokovic N.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
99
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Clear edge
82
99
Deciding sets·Even
99
100
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Musetti L.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Djokovic N.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1853
Surface ELO
5.4+107 Clay Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 2059
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.6
Surface form
8.5
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
Country comfort
6.1
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Musetti L.Djokovic N.
Freshness·
—
62

Djokovic N.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 62%
Final
Rublev A.[5]
Rune H.[6]
5-76-27-5
Semi-finals
Rune H.[6]
Sinner J.[7]
1-67-57-5
Rublev A.[5]
Fritz T.[8]
5-76-16-3
Quarter-finals
Rublev A.[5]
Struff J.
6-17-65
Sinner J.[7]
Musetti L.[16]
6-26-2
Rune H.[6]
Medvedev D.[3]
6-36-4
Fritz T.[8]
Tsitsipas S.[2]
6-26-4
R16
Musetti L.[16]
Djokovic N.[1]
4-67-56-4
Sinner J.[7]
Hurkacz H.[10]
3-67-666-1
Rune H.[6]
Berrettini M.
W/O
Struff J.
Ruud C.[4]
6-17-66
Tsitsipas S.[2]
Jarry N.
6-36-4
Medvedev D.[3]
Zverev A.[13]
3-67-57-67
Fritz T.[8]
Lehecka J.
4-66-46-1
Rublev A.[5]
Khachanov K.[9]
7-646-2
R32
Djokovic N.[1]
Gakhov I.
7-656-2
Sinner J.[7]
Schwartzman D.
6-03-1
Hurkacz H.[10]
Draper J.
6-36-737-5
Medvedev D.[3]
Sonego L.
6-36-2
Rune H.[6]
Thiem D.
6-26-4
Rublev A.[5]
Munar J.
4-66-26-2
Khachanov K.[9]
Ivashka I.
7-626-2
Struff J.
De Minaur A.[14]
6-36-2
Ruud C.[4]
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-57-61
Fritz T.[8]
Wawrinka S.
7-6106-2
Lehecka J.
Dimitrov G.
7-646-4
Tsitsipas S.[2]
Bonzi B.
4-1
Zverev A.[13]
Bautista Agut R.
6-46-4
Berrettini M.
Cerundolo F.
5-77-616-4
Jarry N.
Popyrin A.
3-67-56-4
Musetti L.[16]
Nardi L.
6-06-0
R64
Gakhov I.
Mcdonald M.
7-662-66-3
Nardi L.
Vacherot V.
7-57-5
Musetti L.[16]
Kecmanovic M.
7-616-0
Hurkacz H.[10]
Djere L.
6-757-657-65
Draper J.
Baez S.
6-37-5
Bautista Agut R.
Krajinovic F.
5-77-6106-1
Zverev A.[13]
Bublik A.
3-66-26-4
Munar J.
Huesler M.
7-634-66-4
Khachanov K.[9]
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-26-2
De Minaur A.[14]
Murray A.
6-16-3
Struff J.
Ramos A.
6-46-3
Van De Zandschulp B.
Fucsovics M.
3-67-626-1
Dimitrov G.
Shelton B.
6-13-66-3
Jarry N.
Coric B.[15]
6-26-3
Popyrin A.
Lajovic D.
7-616-3
Bonzi B.
Zapata Miralles B.
6-17-5
Sonego L.
Humbert U.
3-67-57-5
Lehecka J.
Ruusuvuori E.
6-17-5
Schwartzman D.
Goffin D.
6-46-2
Ivashka I.
Evans D.
2-66-26-3
Cerundolo F.
Norrie C.[11]
6-36-4
Berrettini M.
Cressy M.
6-46-2
Thiem D.
Gasquet R.
6-16-4
Wawrinka S.
Griekspoor T.
5-76-36-4