Maria Lourdes Carle vs Tatjana Maria — Paris Olympics Round of 64

Paris Olympics · WTA · Round of 64
ARG
Maria Lourdes Carle
#218WTA
1484ELO
1461Clay ELO
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 July 2024
clay
Tatjana Maria
GER
Tatjana Maria
#76WTA
1703ELO
1585Clay ELO
38 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW
Carle M.
6-0 6-0
Maria T.
Carle M.
662
Maria T.
000

Maria Lourdes Carle defeated Tatjana Maria 6-0 6-0 in the Paris Olympics round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Tatjana Maria came in ranked #76. Maria Lourdes Carle extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-15PalermoR32clayMaria Lourdes Carle5-7 6-1 6-1
2022-04-04BogotaR32clayTatjana Maria6-1 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Carle M.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Maria T.

Maria T.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Carle M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Carle M.Maria T.
—
Serve
12
—
Return
16

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Carle M.Maria T.
1st serve in·Clear edge
69%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
45%
Service points won·Even
52%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
49%
42%
Break points saved·Even
51%
50%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.7
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (139 vs 133). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Carle M.Maria T.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
27
13
Break points saved·Slight edge
26
31
Break points won·Clear edge
97
78
Deciding sets·Dominant
55
9
Tiebreaks·Dominant
5
58

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Carle M.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Maria T.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Clay Elo 1461
Surface ELO
5.9+124 Clay Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1484
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1703
5.4
H2H
4.6
3.0
Surface form
2.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Minutes 14d
7.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Carle M.Maria T.
Freshness·Clear edge
88
64

Carle M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Maria T.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw

Bronze
Swiatek I.[1]
Schmiedlova A.
6-26-1
Final
Zheng Q.
Vekic D.[13]
6-26-3
Semi-finals
Vekic D.[13]
Schmiedlova A.
6-46-0
Zheng Q.
Swiatek I.[1]
6-27-5
Quarter-finals
Swiatek I.[1]
Collins D.[8]
6-12-64-1
Schmiedlova A.
Krejcikova B.[9]
6-46-2
Zheng Q.
Kerber A.
6-746-47-66
Vekic D.[13]
Kostyuk M.[12]
6-42-67-68
R16
Swiatek I.[1]
Wang X.
6-36-4
Collins D.[8]
Osorio C.
6-04-66-3
Kerber A.
Fernandez L.[16]
6-46-3
Zheng Q.
Navarro E.[11]
6-777-646-1
Kostyuk M.[12]
Sakkari M.[7]
4-67-656-4
Vekic D.[13]
Gauff C.[2]
7-676-2
Schmiedlova A.
Paolini J.[4]
7-53-67-5
Krejcikova B.[9]
Svitolina E.
7-652-66-4
R32
Krejcikova B.[9]
Wang X.
6-36-2
Sakkari M.[7]
Yuan Y.
6-26-1
Vekic D.[13]
Andreescu B.
6-36-4
Navarro E.[11]
Tomova V.
6-756-46-1
Swiatek I.[1]
Parry D.
6-16-1
Wang X.
Shnaider D.[15]
6-36-1
Fernandez L.[16]
Bucsa C.
7-646-3
Zheng Q.
Rus A.
6-26-4
Collins D.[8]
Wozniacki C.
6-33-66-3
Kerber A.
Cristian J.
6-43-66-4
Schmiedlova A.
Haddad Maia B.[14]
6-46-4
Osorio C.
Yastremska D.
7-646-4
Paolini J.[4]
Linette M.
6-46-1
Gauff C.[2]
Carle M.
6-16-1
Kostyuk M.[12]
Burel C.
7-636-2
Svitolina E.
Pegula J.[5]
4-66-16-3
R64
Collins D.[8]
Siegemund L.
6-32-0
Wang X.
Noskova L.
6-36-3
Tomova V.
Frech M.
6-47-64
Vekic D.[13]
Bronzetti L.
6-27-5
Sakkari M.[7]
Kovinic D.
6-06-1
Parry D.
Podoroska N.
7-667-5
Osorio C.
Ostapenko J.[10]
6-46-3
Yastremska D.
Pigossi L.
3-67-56-0
Bucsa C.
Martic P.
6-46-3
Burel C.
Siniakova K.
7-636-4
Kostyuk M.[12]
Sun L.
6-46-3
Linette M.
Andreeva M.
6-36-4
Wang X.
Korpatsch T.
6-26-1
Schmiedlova A.
Boulter K.
6-46-2
Rus A.
Gadecki O.
6-46-1
Zheng Q.
Errani S.
6-06-0
Pegula J.[5]
Golubic V.
6-36-4
Krejcikova B.[9]
Sorribes Tormo S.
4-66-07-63
Yuan Y.
Alexandrova E.
7-56-706-2
Svitolina E.
Uchijima M.
6-26-1
Kerber A.
Osaka N.
7-56-3
Gauff C.[2]
Tomljanovic A.
6-36-0
Navarro E.[11]
Grabher J.
6-26-0
Haddad Maia B.[14]
Gracheva V.
6-44-66-0
Wozniacki C.
Sherif M.
2-67-56-1
Andreescu B.
Tauson C.
6-26-3
Paolini J.[4]
Bogdan A.
7-56-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Begu I.
6-27-5
Fernandez L.[16]
Muchova K.
6-14-66-2
Shnaider D.[15]
Cocciaretto E.
6-27-5
Carle M.
Maria T.
6-06-0
Cristian J.
Garcia C.[17]
5-76-36-4