Carlos Alcaraz vs Roman SafiullinParis Olympics Round of 16

Paris Olympics · ATP · Round of 16
#3ATP
2162ELO
2102Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 July 2024
clay
#96ATP
1750ELO
1754Clay ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Alcaraz C.
6-4 6-2
Safiullin R.
Alcaraz C.
662
Safiullin R.
420

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Roman Safiullin 6-4 6-2 in the Paris Olympics round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #3. Carlos Alcaraz claimed a first win over Roman Safiullin in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-30Paris MastersR32hardRoman Safiullin6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Safiullin R.

Safiullin R.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
51%
Service points won·Even
68%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
37%
Break points saved·Even
66%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.2
6.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (170 vs 114). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
98
68
Break points saved·Even
100
96
Break points won·Dominant
99
44
Deciding sets·Clear edge
100
76
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+348 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Clay Elo 1754
10.0Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1750
5.0
H2H
5.0
9.3
Surface form
2.8
10.08-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.2
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
6.0
3.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
78

Safiullin R.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw