Alexandre Muller vs Matteo ArnaldiUmag Round of 32

Umag · ATP · Round of 32
#126ATP
1665ELO
1628Clay ELO
$426kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 22 July 2024
clay
#35ATP
1830ELO
1830Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Muller A.
7-6 6-4
Arnaldi M.
Muller A.
71062
Arnaldi M.
6840

Alexandre Muller defeated Matteo Arnaldi 7-6 6-4 in the Umag round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #35, defending last year's semi-final. Alexandre Muller extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-05Monte Carlo MastersQ2clayAlexandre Muller6-1 6-7(4) 6-4
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR64clayMatteo Arnaldi6-4 6-1 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Muller A.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Arnaldi M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Muller A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.4
6.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (141 vs 117). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
75
78
Break points saved·Even
94
97
Break points won·Slight edge
44
51
Deciding sets·Slight edge
95
86
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
84
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Clay Elo 1628
Surface ELO
5.6+202 Clay Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1665
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1830
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.5
Surface form
5.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
9.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
94

Muller A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Arnaldi M.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast