Sebastian Ofner vs Alex MichelsenMallorca Quarter-final

Mallorca · ATP · Quarter-final
#110ATP
1713ELO
1635Grass ELO
$345kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 June 2024
grass
#46ATP
1825ELO
1710Grass ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
Ofner S.
3-6 7-5 6-3
Michelsen A.
Ofner S.
3762
Michelsen A.
6531

Sebastian Ofner defeated Alex Michelsen 3-6 7-5 6-3 in the Mallorca quarter-final on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Alex Michelsen came in ranked #46, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Sebastian Ofner claimed a first win over Alex Michelsen in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-21Winston-SalemR32hardAlex Michelsen7-6(4) 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Ofner S.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Michelsen A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Ofner S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.8
4.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (112 vs 157). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
70
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
98
Break points won·Even
43
46
Deciding sets·Slight edge
82
91
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
85
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Grass Elo 1635
Surface ELO
6.0+75 Grass Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1713
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1825
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.2
Surface form
5.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.6
Minutes 14d
6.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
73
61

Ofner S.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d) · Michelsen A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast