Alex Michelsen vs Sebastian OfnerWinston-Salem Round of 32

Winston-Salem · ATP · Round of 32
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 August 2023
hard
#125ATP
1713ELO
1655Hard ELO
$345kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
Michelsen A.
7-6 7-5
Ofner S.
Michelsen A.
7772
Ofner S.
6450

Alex Michelsen defeated Sebastian Ofner 7-6 7-5 in the Winston-Salem round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex Michelsen came in ranked #46. Alex Michelsen claimed a first win over Sebastian Ofner in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-24MallorcaQFgrassSebastian Ofner3-6 7-5 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Michelsen A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Ofner S.

Ofner S.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Michelsen A.Ofner S.
34
Serve
46
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.0
7.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
70
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
93
Break points won·Even
46
43
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
82
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+155 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1655
6.4Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1713
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
4.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
66
77

Michelsen A.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d) · Ofner S.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast