Tommy Paul vs Sebastian Baez — Queen's Club Round of 32

Queen's Club · ATP · Round of 32
Tommy Paul
USA5
Tommy Paul
#24ATP
1949ELO
1801Grass ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 June 2024
grass
Sebastian Baez
ARG
Sebastian Baez
#56ATP
1759ELO
1546Grass ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWWWW
Paul T.
6-4 6-4
Baez S.
Paul T.
662
Baez S.
440

Tommy Paul defeated Sebastian Baez 6-4 6-4 in the Queen's Club round of 32 on grass. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #24, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Tommy Paul extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Tommy Paul edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-06-26EastbourneR16grassTommy Paul6-1 7-6(7)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Paul T.Baez S.
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
2.0
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (130 vs 138). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Paul T.Baez S.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
93
87
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Even
87
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paul T.
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Baez S.
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
7.8+255 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Grass Elo 1546
7.3Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1759
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.3
Surface form
3.6
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
3.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Paul T.Baez S.
Freshness·Slight edge
91
100

Paul T.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Baez S.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 48%
Final
Paul T.[5]
Musetti L.
6-17-68
Semi-finals
Paul T.[5]
Korda S.
6-47-62
Musetti L.
Thompson J.
6-33-66-3
Quarter-finals
Thompson J.
Fritz T.[4]
6-46-3
Musetti L.
Harris B.
6-37-5
Paul T.[5]
Draper J.
6-35-76-4
Korda S.
Hijikata R.
6-746-36-4
R16
Thompson J.
Murray A.
4-1
Draper J.
Alcaraz C.[1]
7-636-3
Paul T.[5]
Tabilo A.
6-36-4
Hijikata R.
Arnaldi M.
7-607-67
Harris B.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-47-5
Korda S.
Dimitrov G.[3]
6-43-67-5
Fritz T.[4]
Raonic M.
7-656-4
Musetti L.
Nakashima B.
6-44-66-4
R32
Draper J.
Navone M.
6-36-2
Paul T.[5]
Baez S.
6-46-4
Dimitrov G.[3]
Mannarino A.
6-16-2
Nakashima B.
Evans D.
4-66-30-0
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Shelton B.[6]
6-37-63
Harris B.
Etcheverry T.
6-43-66-3
Thompson J.
Rune H.[7]
4-67-646-3
Hijikata R.
Tiafoe F.
7-54-61-0
Murray A.
Popyrin A.
6-33-66-3
Alcaraz C.[1]
Cerundolo F.
6-17-5
Korda S.
Khachanov K.
7-57-65
Arnaldi M.
Humbert U.[8]
3-66-17-66
Raonic M.
Norrie C.
6-766-37-69
Fritz T.[4]
Daniel T.
6-36-3
Tabilo A.
Davidovich Fokina A.
7-663-66-1
Musetti L.
De Minaur A.[2]
1-66-46-2