Tommy Paul vs Sebastian Baez — Eastbourne Round of 16

Eastbourne · ATP · Round of 16
Tommy Paul
USA2
Tommy Paul
#25ATP
1949ELO
1801Grass ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 June 2023
grass
Sebastian Baez
ARG
Sebastian Baez
#57ATP
1759ELO
1546Grass ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Paul T.
6-1 7-6
Baez S.
Paul T.
6792
Baez S.
1670

Tommy Paul defeated Sebastian Baez 6-1 7-6 in the Eastbourne round of 16 on grass. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Tommy Paul extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Tommy Paul came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-17Queen's ClubR32grassTommy Paul6-4 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Paul T.Baez S.
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.2
2.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Paul T.Baez S.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
93
87
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Even
87
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paul T.
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Baez S.
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
7.8+255 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Grass Elo 1546
7.3Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1759
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
4.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.3
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
2.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Paul T.Baez S.
Freshness·Slight edge
84
94

Paul T.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Baez S.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Final
Cerundolo F.[4]
Paul T.[2]
6-41-66-4
Semi-finals
Paul T.[2]
Barrere G.
6-46-3
Cerundolo F.[4]
Mcdonald M.
2-67-56-2
Quarter-finals
Cerundolo F.[4]
Zhang Z.
6-26-3
Paul T.[2]
Wolf J.
6-44-67-62
Mcdonald M.
Ymer M.
6-43-66-3
Barrere G.
Kecmanovic M.[8]
7-57-62
R16
Cerundolo F.[4]
Huesler M.
7-627-65
Kecmanovic M.[8]
Vukic A.
7-666-4
Zhang Z.
Cressy M.
3-67-56-4
Mcdonald M.
Fritz T.[1]
7-637-68
Ymer M.
Broady L.
6-26-4
Paul T.[2]
Baez S.
6-17-67
Barrere G.
Jarry N.[5]
6-34-66-4
Wolf J.
Van Assche L.
6-26-756-1
R32
Vukic A.
Nakashima B.
6-757-637-65
Ymer M.
Van De Zandschulp B.[9]
3-66-46-2
Huesler M.
Peniston R.
6-36-2
Van Assche L.
Loffhagen G.
2-67-657-64
Barrere G.
Ruusuvuori E.
3-67-667-64
Broady L.
Choinski J.
6-36-4
Baez S.
Borges N.
6-36-4
Kecmanovic M.[8]
Wu Y.
7-647-65
Mcdonald M.
Cecchinato M.
6-36-3
Zhang Z.
Sonego L.[7]
7-646-3
Cressy M.
Galan D.
6-47-5
Wolf J.
Etcheverry T.[6]
6-26-4