Brandon Nakashima vs Mattia BellucciSurbiton CH Round of 32

Surbiton CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#32ATP
1839ELO
1757Grass ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 June 2024
grass
#80ATP
1720ELO
1657Grass ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
Nakashima B.
6-7 7-5 7-6
Bellucci M.
Nakashima B.
647772
Bellucci M.
775641

Brandon Nakashima defeated Mattia Bellucci 6-7 7-5 7-6 in the Surbiton CH round of 32 on grass. The result followed the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #32, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Brandon Nakashima extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-09DallasR32hardBrandon Nakashima6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Bellucci M.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
68%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Even
66%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.6
6.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.2
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (176 vs 170). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
56
60
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Even
13
10
Deciding sets·Clear edge
64
81
Tiebreaks·Even
89
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
6.4+100 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Grass Elo 1657
6.7Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1720
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.0
Surface form
5.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
3-set count
0.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
100

Nakashima B.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Bellucci M.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast