Brandon Nakashima vs Mattia BellucciDallas Round of 32

Dallas · ATP · Round of 32
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 February 2026
hard
#67ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
Nakashima B.
6-3 6-4
Bellucci M.
Nakashima B.
662
Bellucci M.
340

Brandon Nakashima defeated Mattia Bellucci 6-3 6-4 in the Dallas round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Bellucci M.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakashima B.Bellucci M.
61
Serve
0
23
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
Return points won·Even
34%
37%
Break points saved·Even
56%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.4
4.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
0.7
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
56
60
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Even
13
10
Deciding sets·Clear edge
64
81
Tiebreaks·Even
89
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+110 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1678
6.7Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1720
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
5.1
Surface form
7.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.4
3-set count
4.0
4.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
100

Nakashima B.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Bellucci M.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast