Diana Shnaider vs Emma NavarroParis 125 Final

Paris 125 · CHALLENGER · Final
#18WTA
1891ELO
1841Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$6.1MCAREER
22 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 May 2024
clay
#26WTA
1866ELO
1794Clay ELO
$675kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
Shnaider D.
6-2 3-6 6-4
Navarro E.
Shnaider D.
6362
Navarro E.
2641

Diana Shnaider defeated Emma Navarro 6-2 3-6 6-4 in the Paris 125 final on clay. The result followed the form book — Diana Shnaider came in ranked #18, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Diana Shnaider extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Diana Shnaider closed it out in three sets, 6–2 3–6 6–4.

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-12AdelaideQFhardDiana Shnaider6-3 6-3
2024-07-01WimbledonR32grassEmma Navarro2-6 6-3 6-4
2024-06-24Bad HomburgSFgrassDiana Shnaider7-5 2-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Shnaider D.serving51% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Navarro E.

Navarro E.serving51% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Shnaider D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Shnaider D.Navarro E.
6
Serve
29
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
58%
55%
Aces / match·Even
1.9
1.5
Double faults / match·Even
3.0
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (149 vs 145). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
93
90
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
88
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Even
91
93
Tiebreaks·Even
91
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.9+47 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Clay Elo 1794
6.2Overall Elo 1891
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1866
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
5.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Minutes 14d
8.8
7.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
95
90

Shnaider D.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Navarro E.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast