Varvara Gracheva vs Katie VolynetsParis 125 Round of 16

Paris 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#95WTA
1810ELO
1701Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 May 2024
clay
#93WTA
1786ELO
1715Clay ELO
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
Gracheva V.
2-6 6-2 6-4
Volynets K.
Gracheva V.
2662
Volynets K.
6241

Varvara Gracheva defeated Katie Volynets 2-6 6-2 6-4 in the Paris 125 round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Katie Volynets came in ranked #93, defending last year's semi-final. Varvara Gracheva extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-07CincinnatiR128hardVarvara Gracheva6-4 3-6 6-3
2023-02-27AustinSFhardVarvara Gracheva6-4 5-7 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Gracheva V.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Volynets K.

Volynets K.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
63%
77%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Even
53%
56%
Aces / match·Even
2.0
1.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (126 vs 164). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
74
67
Break points saved·Even
76
75
Break points won·Slight edge
87
97
Deciding sets·Clear edge
90
70
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
65
56

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2Clay Elo 1701
Surface ELO
4.8+14 Clay Elo edge
5.7Overall Elo 1810
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1786
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
6.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.5
Minutes 14d
7.4
7.0
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
61

Volynets K.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 105 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast