Varvara Gracheva vs Katie VolynetsAustin Semi-final

Austin · WTA · Semi-final
#95WTA
1810ELO
1763Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 February 2023
hard
#93WTA
1786ELO
1736Hard ELO
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
Gracheva V.
6-4 5-7 6-4
Volynets K.
Gracheva V.
6562
Volynets K.
4741

Varvara Gracheva defeated Katie Volynets 6-4 5-7 6-4 in the Austin semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Varvara Gracheva came in leading the head-to-head 1–0. Varvara Gracheva extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Varvara Gracheva edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 5–7 6–4.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-07CincinnatiR128hardVarvara Gracheva6-4 3-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Gracheva V.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Volynets K.

Volynets K.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gracheva V.Volynets K.
3
Serve
8
27
Return
49

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
63%
76%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Even
53%
55%
Aces / match·Even
2.0
1.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.3
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (192 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
74
67
Break points saved·Even
76
75
Break points won·Slight edge
87
97
Deciding sets·Clear edge
90
70
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
65
55

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+28 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1736
5.7Overall Elo 1810
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1786
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.5
Surface form
4.4
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
7.9
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
56

Volynets K.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 105 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast